SNAP elections will lead to Barisan Nasional or Umno and PAS coming into power, said analysts, adding that they will be able to win the Malay voters.
There’s also a potential of many voters deciding to sit out the election because of frustration and fatigue, said Universiti Sains Malaysia political science lecturer Dr Azmil Tayeb.
The turnout will be low because of the recent political turmoil and this will be an advantage to Umno and PAS, he said.
Universiti Malaya’s Prof Dr Awang Azman Awang Pawi agreed that the muafakat nasional group has the upper hand if there are fresh elections.
“The old Malay parties stand a bigger chance as more of the seats are skewed towards Malay majority instead of mix,” said the Malay ethnic studies department head.
Both sides will have to lobby hard now to get enough support from Sabah and Sarawak if they want to avoid fresh elections.
In the meantime, PKR president Anwar Ibrahim can still negotiate with Gabungan Parti Sarawak and Warisan or Umno, said Universiti Teknologi Malaysia’s Dr Mazlan Ali.
“All three blocs are open if Anwar can offer something like a deputy prime minister’s position to Sabah And Sarawak.
“But if he fails to do that, Malay-based parties will win,” said Mazlan.
The analysts were commenting on Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s announcement yesterday that there will be an emergency Dewan Rakyat seating on March 2 to determine who has the majority support to be prime minister.
Despite two days of interviews in Istana Negara this week, the Yang Di-Pertuan Agong could not determine which MP had the majority in the 222-seat Dewan Rakyat.
On Wednesday, Pakatan Harapan, which has 92 MPs, said it nominated Anwar while BN and PAS, with a combined total of 60 MPs, said they opted for fresh elections.
Bersatu, which has 26 MPs, and 11 MPs linked to Mohamed Azmin Ali, said they backed Dr Mahathir.
Warisan and Upko, who have a total of 10 MPs, and GPS (18) have not indicated who they backed. – February 28, 2020.
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