Stocks slide, dollar mixed before rate calls


US stocks end Tuesday with regional bank stocks logging another day of plummeting values ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. – The Malaysian Insight file pic, May 3, 2023.

EUROPEAN and US stock markets fell yesterday ahead of key interest rate decisions on both sides of the Atlantic this week, and worries about banks continued to haunt investors.

Meanwhile, the dollar wobbled against rival currencies as investors positioned themselves ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s announcement today and European Central Bank’s tomorrow.

“Last week saw risk appetite revive on better earnings from tech giants, but a host of worries about interest rates, further bank crises, the US debt ceiling and of course pre-Fed nerves have conspired to prompt a reversal in equity markets,” said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG.

“European and US indices are down sharply, as investors’ nerves get the better of them,” he added.

Australia’s central bank yesterday delivered a surprise interest rate hike to an 11-year high, dashing hopes it would hold them steady as inflation shows signs of slowing.

On Wall Street, US stocks ended the trading day lower with regional bank stocks logging another day of plummeting values ahead of the Fed’s policy decision.

The Dow and tech-heavy Nasdaq both ended 1.1% lower while the broad-based S&P 500 slid 1.2%.

The US central bank is widely expected to raise its benchmark lending rate for a tenth and possibly final time in the current cycle – by another quarter-point – as it looks to tackle stubborn inflation through interest rate hikes.

This comes despite greater uncertainty about the banking sector after another US regional lender went under.

Regulators on Monday announced the seizure of First Republic and that it had been sold to JPMorgan Chase, making it the second biggest bank by assets to collapse in US history.

The takeover of First Republic followed the collapse of three US midsized lenders in March, including Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank – which rattled markets and raised contagion worries.

SVB’s failure came after it took on too much interest rate risk, among other issues.

If JPMorgan Chase’s buyout of First Republic was supposed to draw a line on the banking crisis, it has yet to calm investors.

Shares of PacWest Bancorp sank around 28%, while Western Alliance lost more than 15%.

Metropolitan Bank also saw its share price drop by more than 20%.

“Fear is a powerful emotion on Wall Street,” 50 Park Investments’ chief executive Adam Sarhan said in an interview. “When fear takes over, logic is out the window.”

Oil prices tumble

Uncertainty has seen lending conditions tighten in the United States, and the latest data shows tightening in the eurozone also, where the ECB is seen as making a quarter or half-point hike.

Consumer prices rose from a rate of 6.9% in March to 7.0% in June in the eurozone, data showed Tuesday, which could further encourage the European Central Bank to raise interest rates once more, according to analysts.

Frankfurt stocks closed 1.2% down and Paris 1.5%, after a long holiday weekend for markets across Europe. London slipped as well.

Oil prices tumbled, with the main international contract, Brent North Sea, under USUS$76 per barrel.

“The post-Opec+ gains have now been wiped out which suggests traders are now of the belief that the economic outlook has deteriorated to the extent that the output cut won’t create the deficit that was feared when some were calling for USUS$100 oil,” said Oanda analyst Craig Erlam.

Multiple members of the Opec+ exporters’ alliance unexpectedly slashed production by a total of more than one million barrels per day at the beginning of April.

Key figures around 2030 GMT

New York - Dow: DOWN 1.1% at 33,684.53 (close)

New York - S&P 500: DOWN 1.2% at 4,119.58 (close)

New York - Nasdaq: DOWN 1.1% at 12,080.51 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 1.2% at 7,773.03 (close)

Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN 1.2% at 15,726.94 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 1.5% at 7,383.20 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.5% at 4,294.85 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.1% at 29,157.95 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.2% at 19,933.81 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: Closed for holiday

Euro/dollar: UP at USUS$1.1005 from USUS$1.0978 on Monday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at USUS$1.2470 from USUS$1.2498

Dollar/yen: DOWN at  ¥136.55 from  ¥137.45

Euro/pound: UP at 88.23 pence from 87.80 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 5.3% at USUS$71.66 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 5.0% at USUS$75.32 per barrel – AFP, May 3, 2023.


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