The eyebrow-raising discrepancies between 12MP and PM’s speech


PRIME Minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob barely had one month to make his imprint on the 12th Malaysia Plan (12MP), and it shows. The 530-page tome is complete, with room to insert only his Keluarga Malaysia brand into the preface, introduction and conclusion chapters.

But he had the chance to deliver the 12MP address in Parliament, and of course he took it. This explains a peculiar – and unusually politicised – speech. The equity ownership aspects are being hotly debated, but there is more to it – beginning with subtle, but impactful discrepancies between the 12MP document and the prime minister’s speech.

The tabling of the five-year Malaysia Plans is the pinnacle of policy speechmaking: comprehensive, grand, serious and potentially momentous. Yes, there are grandiosity, self-congratulation and claptrap moments, but, typically, we get a pointed summary of a massive document.

The 12MP contains thirteen chapters aligned with three themes, four “enablers” and 14 “game changers”. Instead of keeping to this laboriously formulated outline and buzzwords, though, the prime minister’s speech reshuffled the contents into nine “focus areas”.

The section on group-targeted policies for ethnic groups, women and others are bundled into Chapter 5 on “Addressing Poverty and Building an Inclusive Society”, which, of course, includes a priority area section on “Achieving an Equitable Outcome for Bumiputeras”.

These contents are repackaged as “Focus Area 6: Enhancing the Bumiputera Agenda and Keluarga Malaysia”.

The speech departs from the document most starkly, and troublingly, in Focus Area 6. The power of the platform is evident; 12MP debates are revolving around the speech, not the document nor its executive summary.

Three discrepancies stand out. The first warrants clarification, the second and third demand answers.

Firstly, the speech magnifies a divisive and misleading statistical note. The Bumiputera agenda, Ismail Sabri asserts, must continue because “the median income gap between Bumiputeras and the Chinese is widening, quadrupling in 2019 compared with the gap in 1989”. This line is taken from the 12MP, but preceded by more important matters that the speech omits.

In fairness, the 11 and 12MPs have improved in specifying where pro-Bumiputera and other group-targeted programmes operate – albeit with major omissions, such as matriculation colleges, higher education, public procurements, as well as public sector and government-linked company employments.

The 12MP’s discussion of “key issues” faced by Bumiputeras begins with the general problems of poverty, inequality and unemployment, followed by a list of specific problems.

At the top of this list is Bumiputera business concentration in micro enterprise and low, value-added activities, and dependency on government assistance. These are, constructively and objectively, the key shortcomings – and ought to be the key premises for Bumiputera policies, which will then establish higher education, small and medium enterprise (SME) development and capacity building as policy drivers.

Alas, the speech makes a big deal of Bumiputera-Chinese household income inequality in a manner that may potentially sow discord and paints a grossly misleading picture by suggesting that inequality between the two groups is widening.

To set the record straight (with numbers rounded for simplicity), in 1989, median Chinese household income was RM1,180, while median Bumiputera household income was RM680. The difference was RM500. In 2019, the corresponding figures were RM7,400 for Chinese households and RM5,400 for Bumiputera households. The difference was RM2,000.

The 12MP points out that this absolute difference has increased four times, which is technically correct, but this selective angle skews our perspective on ethnic group household income progress.

Bumiputera household income has actually grown significantly faster: increasing by 700% between 1989 and 2019, compared with 530% for Chinese households. Proportionately, the gap has narrowed. In 1989, median Bumiputera household income was 58% that of Chinese households. By 2019, the proportion had risen to 73%.

It is also inaccurate to report the statistics at only the national level, without taking into account urban and rural differences. Rural incomes are lower. The median national Bumiputera household income is deflated with the inclusion of rural households. The non-Bumiputera population is much more urbanised. A more valid household income comparison is between urban Bumiputera and urban non-Bumiputera.

In 2019, the Bumiputera to Chinese median household income ratio was 81% a narrow gap than the 73% obtained when we mix urban and rural populations. The Bumiputera to Indian median income ratio tells a further story. Median urban Bumiputera household income was 102% of urban Indian households (yes, 2% higher). What this means is that half of urban Bumiputera households earned less than RM6,209, while half of urban Indian households earned less than RM6,097.

In conclusion, household income trends show how much the Bumiputera community has benefited from economic growth and extensive preferential policies. These statistics should be grounds for enhancing the system by making it more inclusive.

Secondly, the speech declares with certainty something that the 12MP document merely proposes for further study and consideration.

Unsurprisingly, the announcement of an “equity safety net framework” has provoked alarm and concern. This measure, on top of many other equity ownership programmes, purportedly ensures that “disposal of Bumiputera shares or companies (will) be offered and sold to only Bumiputera consortiums, companies or individuals”.

This is a drastic step and, many will add, a problematic and perilous one. Absent details, we are unable to engage much with the subject beyond raising the basic why, what and how, but it is imperative to demand answers.

An equally crucial question is whether the prime minister has overruled the 12MP and policymaking machinery, which proposes this equity safety net as a “possibility” that “will be explored”. Has he dictated a decision before due deliberation?

Third, and most simply, his address to Parliament highlighted something that is not even in the 12MP. The Dana Kemakmuran Bumiputera – appearing foremost on a list of programmes for Bumiputera micro, SMEs – is nowhere to be found except in the speech. How will Dana Kemakmuran Bumiputera be scrutinised, debated and monitored when it does not exist in the plan?

Ismail Sabri had little time to influence the 12MP, but he better make time to answer for his speech. – October 2, 2021.

* Lee Hwok Aun is senior fellow at ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute.

* This is the opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of The Malaysian Insight. Article may be edited for brevity and clarity.


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Comments


  • We should be forming policies on how to compete with the world.

    Instead we are so myopic that we may one day end up like North Korea .......... everyone equally poor and ...... economically @#$%^ compared to other countries.

    p/s ...... in the 1960's Malaysia was ahead in development to Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China and Singapore (which was just a swampy island). Now they are so far ahead of us that we can never dream of catching up.

    Posted 2 years ago by Malaysian First · Reply