IN a recent statement informing loan borrowers that they can start submitting their applications for the six months loan moratorium, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) concurrently also advised borrowers that opting in will raise overall cost of their borrowings. 

Their intention of doing so might be well meaning but when conveyed across concurrently, it gives the impression that BNM, whose main focus and priority is stability concerns in the financial sector, is an uncaring institution devoid of empathy, insensitive to the needs of Malaysians in general and beholden to the banks.

Since the country went into its first movement-control order (MCO) in March 2020, moral outrage has emerged, gaining credence and intensity among Malaysians on the imbalance between banks that are too big to fail profiting from excessive risk taking in good times and tax payers suffering the costs in bad times.

The people are not asking BNM to wave a magic wand and hopefully, their debts obligations are resolved. The public are well aware that BNM’s actions have serious unintended consequences and financial interests always loom large in their decisions.

In BNM’s annual report, it states that all the things the bank does, it does in the best interest of the nation, taking into account the changing needs of the Malaysian economy and its people, and the central role of finance in the nation’s economic and social progress. 

In addressing the pandemic, BNM said they adjusted its regulatory and supervisory priorities to achieve among others, easing of cashflow pressures of affected borrowers by providing timely and coordinated assistance. During the MCO in March 2020, apparently eight million individual borrowers and 250,000 small and medium enterprises benefited from the automatic moratorium with 840,000 borrowers resumed repayments by the end of September 2020. 

Even though borrowers were apparently assured they could still seek help in future if their financial circumstances change as a result of further shocks due to the pandemic, in reality, with reduced visibility into the borrowers’ financial health and repayment behaviour, banks would exercise greater caution in agreeing to any rescheduling of repayments.

BNM serves as a basic structure for all Malaysians and both are bound together as one system of cooperation. This pandemic did not result in a financial crisis for the banks in Malaysia but resulted in a moral crisis. 

Is there a moral obligation between BNM and the people in this country towards each other? 

This pandemic has caused untold misery to a lot of people and businesses and the present financial system inflicts unnecessary punishment on many relatively poor and defenceless people. It has stripped our financial system of any semblance of democracy enslaving Malaysians forever.

The fallout from this pandemic has two probable offsetting effects. Probability of the loan borrowers not able to continue with their existing debt obligations post-pandemic could pose problems to the future profits of the banks, as higher default rates will start to show up on the banks’ balance sheets and will be reflected as higher impaired loan provisions or credit cost. 

On the other hand, if the banks, instead of maximising their profits, were to help their loan borrowers more than providing a moratorium on their repayment, it incentivise their loan borrowers and increases their probability of survival, thus raising the value at stake.
 
Is it less on the bank’s choice and more on BNM’s actions worrying that this loan moratorium will further delay the recognition of non-performing loans into 2022 by the banks that could result in loan-loss allowances to impaired loans becoming less accurate indicators of banks’ loss-absorption buffers in the interim?

Moody’s Investors Service had in a report in May 2020 stated that the asset quality of three of the largest banks in Malaysia is likely to deteriorate from 2021 as the loan repayment moratoriums during the MCO in 2020 expire in September 2020. 

Fitch Ratings in a recent report expects the amount of loans seeking moratorium this time will be materially lower than in 2020, but the proportion will rise significantly in light of the continued financial strains on households and small businesses face from the full MCO and enhanced MCO.

When Cuepacs is asking the Public Sector Home Financing Board to also defer repayment of housing loans by civil servants for six months, even though civil servants and government retirees are receiving full salaries and pensions, hence able to cover their monthly expenses, the situation is serious. 

BNM needs to be brave. Financial interests of the country or the welfare of Malaysians? – July 9, 2021.

* FLK reads The Malaysian Insight.

* This is the opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of The Malaysian Insight. Article may be edited for brevity and clarity.