Daily cases may hit 9,000 by June due to SOP non-compliance, says ministry

Raevathi Supramaniam Raevathi Supramaniam Updated 2 years ago · Published on 14 May 2021 1:00PM · 3 Comments

A forecast by the Ministry of Health says daily Covid-19 cases in the country could reach more than 9,000 because standard operating procedure are not being followed. – The Malaysian Insight pic by Irwan Majid, May 14, 2021.

THE Ministry of Health forecasts that Covid-19 cases in the country will hit approximately 9,000 new cases daily by June due to non-compliance to standard operating procedure (SOP).

The Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious and Removed (SEIR) model, forecast an upward trend in the number of cases from May 30, with almost 9,000 daily cases by June 6 with an infectivity rate (Rt) of more than 1.2.

Rt is used to measure how quickly the virus is spreading.

Previously, the ministry had forecasted around 5,000 new cases per day by June but daily Covid-19 cases have surpassed the previous forecast.

Cases have been trending upward for the past couple of weeks, with Malaysia recording 4,765 new Covid-19 cases yesterday.

On May 12, a third movement-control order (MCO 3.0) was implemented nationwide in an effort to bring down the number of cases.

The SEIR model predicts that if SOP are observed, daily cases can be reduced to approximately 1,000 daily cases with an infectivity rate (Rt) of 0.8.

Health director-general Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah said in a tweet that the Rt for Malaysia as of May 13 stands at 1.14.

Perak recorded the highest infectivity rate at 1.32, followed by Terengganu (1.29) and Penang (1.21.).

Selangor, Johor, Malacca, Kuala Lumpur, Negeri Sembilan, Kedah and Pahang recorded an infectivity rate above 1.0.

Sabah, Kelantan, Putrajaya and Sarawak recorded an infectivity rate below 1.0.

Four cases were reported in Labuan while Perlis recorded zero cases. – May 14, 2021.

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Comments

  • So MCO 3.0 is for fun?

    Posted 2 years ago by Sting like A butterfly · Reply

  • Stop blaming the people. Get the vaccination rolling. You talk you stats and then just sit on it.

    Posted 2 years ago by Thomas Samuel · Reply

    • Stop the fear mongering and do your job professionally.

      Posted 2 years ago by Thomas Samuel · Reply