Bank says MCO 3.0 to cost economy RM300 million daily


The third movement-control order could see a daily hit of RM300 million to the economy, especially from restrictions on the contact-sensitive services sector, says Public Investment Bank Bhd. – The Malaysian Insight file pic, May 11, 2021.

THE nationwide imposition of the third movement-control order (MCO 3.0) from May 12 to June 7 is expected to cost the country’s economy RM300 million every day.

Public Investment Bank Bhd (PIVB) said MCO 1.0 (March 18 to May 3, 2020) was estimated to have cost the economy RM2 billion per day, while MCO 2.0 (Jan 13 to 26, 2021) cost RM300 million per day.

“Given the similarities, MCO 3.0 could also see a daily hit of about RM300 million to the economy, particularly from restrictions on contact-sensitive businesses, which will be a drag on the services sector,” it said in a note today.

Citing a potential national disaster in the making if this move was not taken, Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin said on Monday that more drastic measures have had to be taken in light of the emergence of new variants and higher infectivity rates due to non-compliance to standard operating procedure.

Stating that there would not be any fear or panic, especially since most economic sectors would continue to remain open, PIVB, however, noted that the start-stop nature of these recovery measures does not bode well for sentiments, and may prove to be a drag on the gross domestic product (GDP)-dominant services sector.

“We are concerned that the improvement in labour market conditions may be delayed by the constant MCOs and resultant strains on businesses, while the government may also find it hard-pressed to continue supporting households and business without putting further strains on its coffers should these conditions persist,” it said.

The investment bank also noted that it had always cautioned that the pandemic could still trip up enthusiasm in the market.

“Market sentiment had improved late last year with the first rollouts of the much-awaited Covid-19 vaccines, however, that excitement appears to be floundering amid a global resurgence in Covid-19 cases and the relatively laboured pace of vaccinations domestically,” it said. – Bernama, May 11, 2021.


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