BN will suffer backlash if Dr Mahathir is prosecuted, say analysts


Sheridan Mahavera

Former prime minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad is still 'widely and deeply respected' for building modern Malaysia, says analysts. – The Malaysian Insight file pic, December 1, 2017.

BARISAN Nasional is inviting a backlash if it goes ahead and prosecutes Dr Mahathir Mohamad for the central bank’s forex losses of 30 years ago, because the public consensus is that the inquiry into the affair was politically motivated, say analysts.

The royal commission of inquiry (RCI) was initiated after Dr Mahathir became a fierce critic of Prime Minister Najib Razak, they said, adding the Najib administration was showing inconsistency in the setting of its priorities.

They said the Najib administration had doggedly pursued the business of Bank Negara’s foreign exchange losses that occurred decades ago, but was sluggish in its reaction to the loss of billions in the 1Malaysia Development Bhd (1MDB) scandal that blew up a mere two years ago.

“Take Dr Mahathir to court and BN will suffer an electoral backlash as he is still widely and deeply respected for building modern Malaysia,” said independent political analyst Dr Andrew Aeria, former associate professor at Universiti Malaysia Sarawak.

“Does BN want to risk making Dr Mahathir a martyr?”

Hisommuddin Bakar of the Ilham Centre said the RCI seemed to be politically motivated because there is no action taken on the 1MBD scandal.

“BN can’t use the RCI as ammunition. It is ammo that has no impact,” said Hisommuddin.

And if BN were to use the RCI findings to tar rival coalition Pakatan Harapan – of which Dr Mahathir is chairman – it could even backfire, said Dr Faisal Syam Hazis.

“BN has lost the legitimacy to talk about good governance, transparency, and corruption,” said Faisal of Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM).

“There are so many allegations against people in the government yet there is no action against them. But when it comes to the opposition, action is swift and efficient,” said Faisal.

Speedy RCI

The RCI tabled its 524-page report in Parliament yesterday which found that Bank Negara Malaysia had lost RM31.5 billion in foreign exchange trading between 1992 and 1994.

The RCI recommended that police investigate Dr Mahathir, former finance minister Anwar Ibrahim, a member of the BNM board of directors, the National Audit Department and the Finance Ministry. 

RCI secretary Dr Yusof Ismail has lodged a police report in Putrajaya in connection with the commission’s recommendations.

Critics have questioned the speed and efficiency of the government’s probe into the forex losses compared to the losses in 1MBD, and federal agencies Mara and Felda.

The probe into the forex losses began with a special task force in February. In April, they recommended that the Najib administration set up a RCI.

The RCI’s hearings were conducted in August and September during which 25 witnesses including Dr Mahathir, Anwar, former Finance Minister DAim Zainuddin and Bank Negara adviser Noor Mohamed Yakcop were summoned.

The report was submitted to the Yang di Pertuan Agong Sultan Muhammad V on October 13,

In contrast, the police have yet to complete their investigations into 1MDB despite the many revelations of fraud and money laundering that began coming to light in mid-2015.

Attorney-General Mohd Apandi Ali declared that there was insufficient evidence in an investigation by the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Agency (MACC) on whether money was siphoned from the state fund. 

The lack of punitive action in Malaysia over 1MBD is in sharp contrast to Singapore, which has jailed bankers and shut down the branches of two foreign banks for funneling 1MBD money.

Meanwhile the United States authorities have frozen and sought to seize more than US$1 billion in expensive properties and artwork believed to have been bought with money stolen from 1MDB.

A study by anti-graft body C4 into 1MBD’s deals and losses concluded that the company was set up to specifically steal billions from Malaysians.

Backfire

Faisal, of UKM, said the RCI would be one of several issues that would be trotted out as the general election nears to enable the BN to question PH’s credibility.

Najib has to call for GE14 before August but signals from the administration are that it will likely take place in March or April.

“Dr Mahathir has a lot of baggage during his 22 years in power, such as Ops Lalang. So it’s no secret that we will see more of such issues being unearthed,” said Faisal.

Aeria says that even if the forex losses were to be used as an issue, the PH could turn it around and use it against the BN.

“A court case will also open avenues for PH to question why PM Najib cannot also be queried in court over 1MDB.”

Hisomuddin of the Ilham Centre said any attempt to prosecute Dr Mahathir could attract sympathy votes from undecided voters, who make up 30% to 40% of the electorate.

“As it is, the RCI had no traction among people when we were doing a survey in Kuala Selangor, Sungai Besar and Tanjong Karang. Because it is a complex issue and it happened so long ago that people don’t feel connected to it.” – December 1, 2017.


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Comments


  • Just as big a question is why no one in UMNO question the foolishness of Najib - if he uses Forex losses to persecute Mahathir than someone ambitious in the future can persecute him and his family for 1MDB, even more so. If he is counting on retiring quietly like Pak Lah, it's no barrier to someone ambitious or desperately need political capital. If he is counting on wealth, Najib has to steal again. Likely both he will do. Najib is a idiot and so is all of UMNO for letting him do this.

    Posted 6 years ago by Bigjoe Lam · Reply

  • Sepatutnya, ini perlu dilakukan 30 tahun yang lalu, semasa rakyat jelata mendesak kerajaan mendedahkan fakta yang benar, kenapa pulak dibicarakan sekarang. Memanglah pada masa itu, rakyat tahu kerajaan menipu kita, buat masa itulah tindakan perlu diambil, nak buat sekarang siapa yang nak peduli !!

    Posted 6 years ago by Malaysia Forward · Reply

  • The ordinary man from the street coming from the schools of hard knock will laugh at Najib stupendous actions in allowing the RCI with no buy back but a waste of time and money in paying his advisors for such a low grade strategy. It is so confounding that with all the machineries and resources at his disposal there is a third grade tatician in his grouping dishing out such an unbelievable plan.It is so telling that the old fox are having no qualm in treading into dangerous zone and leading our "Trump best buddy PM" to implicate himself further

    Posted 6 years ago by Lee Lee · Reply

  • I support our Government efforts to bring any forex culprit to court and charge them appropriately. Let this be a lesson that no one is above the law. For 4 years - we work under the tyranny of a rabid psychopath mongrel - and this QUAKY dog - bully, humiliate, cheat, lie and conduct unsolicited sexual advance, name calling, vulgar words, obscene actions - etc etc - on staffs/agents at axa. No action taken on him while its bosses turn a blid eye while hundreds thrown under the buses. Read more at changenow083.blogspot.com

    Posted 6 years ago by Chris Ng · Reply

  • Ahmad Zahid Hamidi as report in Bernama Nov 30, states that he and others will stand by the PM because "they believed in the prime minister’s philosophy and efforts in developing the country and the Malay community, while not sidelining the rights and interests of the other communities."

    I still remember the same was said during the time of Mahathir as PM, everybody came to his support after his tearful address in one of UMNO assembly. The thing here is this, the party stood by him in what ever he did during that time which means that they approved in his investment and inadvertently took into their consideration the central bank’s forex losses. If they were to prosecute him for that then they should also prosecute those who did not speak out against it and by default approved it. Just because the party leader want to do something doesn't mean you should agree with it and if that the case then the people's trust in a leader that put forward or protect them from such thing is put into question. Should the people vote for a leader which is just a "Yes-Man". A leader who do not have the courage to speak out against thing that is not proper betray the trust of those who vote for him. He became the backstabber of the people who elected him but not only did he betrayed them, he approved for them to be betrayed which is like giving lollipop to his voter. Smiling and saying "suckers" in his mind.



    Posted 6 years ago by Edward Theodore Gein · Reply